Foresight and identification of regeneration scenarios of inefficient urban textures

Document Type : Articles from PhD & Master Dissertations

Authors

1 Ph.D. Student, Department of Geography and Planning, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

2 Professor, Department of Geography and Planning, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran. of Tehran University

3 Associate Professor, Department of Geography and Planning, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Teh-ran, Iran.

Abstract

The current research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical based on the research method. In terms of nature, it is based on new future-research, analytical and exploratory methods. The collection of data and information has been done by the survey method and the analysis of the matrix of cross-effects using MicMac and Scenario Wizard software. Based on the findings of the research, out of 41 investigated indicators,9 indicators were identified as the key drivers of the reconstruction of the historical fabric of Kerman city. Maintaining the originality of the design and work, functional diversity and creating vitality, reuse of buildings and modernization, payment of subsidies and bank facilities, participation of people and the private sector, the role of culture and cultural industries, creation of legal and legal tools, creation of integrated management of historical context and model Comprehensive planning and regeneration management were identified as key factors and drivers of the regeneration of the historical fabric of Kerman. Also, the results of the scenario planning section of the research indicate 4 scenarios with high or probable compatibility for the future of the historical context of Kerman city. The first scenario is completely desirable, the second scenario is semi-desirable, the third scenario is critical, and the fourth scenario is completely critical for recreating the historical context of Kerman city. According to the knowledge obtained from the key drivers and future scenarios for the reconstruction of the historical context of Kerman city, it is possible to plan ahead and pay attention to the key factors and hidden layers in different social fields. , economic, physical, functional, cultural and institutional-management, while dealing with various dimensions of instability and deterioration, reverse the cycle of decline and decline and provide a new opportunity to revive and recreate the historical urban fabric of Kerman

Keywords

Main Subjects

References

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Urban Structure and Function Studies
Volume 11, Issue 39
2024
Pages 29-60

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History

  • Receive Date: 08 October 2023
  • Revise Date: 08 December 2023
  • Accept Date: 28 February 2024

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